Gigaom, Can You See Me Now? The Future of Movie Talk
Can You See Me Now? The Future of Movie Talk
The unveiling of the next generation iPhone tomorrow isn’t just the next iteration of an iconic phone, it may also be one of the very first handsets to bring mobile movie talk to the masses. The iPhone (s aapl) 4G will almost certainly suggest its owners the chance to movie talk on their phones thanks to a front-facing camera, and that fresh capability could spur more movie talk adoption. In fact, a fresh report from GigaOM Pro’s Alfred Poor and Michael Wolf estimates that by two thousand fifteen movie talk will grow from just under six hundred million movie calls to thirty billion, helped in part by the growth from movie talking via mobile phones.
The report, “Can You See Me Now? The Fresh World of Consumer Visual Communications” (sub req’d) explains how ubiquitous high speed broadband connections and low-cost and integrated webcams make it effortless for consumers to connect not just with voice, but with movie. For example, I’ve written how my dad no longer wants to talk to me, when he could movie talk instead, and Skype CEO Josh Silverman, Cisco (s csco) and even Logitech are placing their bets on movie calls becoming a fatter presence in people’s lives for work and play.
The report goes into depth on the current and emerging players in movie talk, as well as cracks down the numbers of movie calls that will take place on a PC, television and on mobile phones. The PC keeps its lead over the other two through 2015, but movie talk via mobiles makes noticeable gains by two thousand twelve and grows rapidly through 2015. The report anticipates Three.Two million consumers will accomplish movie talks via their mobiles in two thousand ten (after the iPhone 4G, Skype is releasing a Nokia N900 movie talk client) and expects that to reach 142.9 million by 2015.
For Internet Service Providers, the growth of movie talk is both a source of concern and possible extra revenue. Movie talks take up far more bandwidth than a voice call depending on the quality, and both wireline and wireless operators are worried about how that traffic may affect their networks. On wireline networks, caps, tiered pricing plans and network management tactics that slow broadband during times of congestion or during certain hours could hinder movie talk.
On mobile networks, which have limited capacity, operators are already implementing different pricing plans in order to condition customers to observe their usage. AT&T (s T) the off the hook carrier for the iPhone, just killed off its unlimited plans for fresh iPhone subscribers last week, perhaps in anticipation of the effects movie talk could have on its network.
But there’s no question that movie talk is coming, and that it will switch the way people communicate. For those who want to learn what roadblocks still lie ahead for the technology, how people may pay for it and more details about how quickly it will grow, read the total analysis.
hi there too late i have the iphone four and have had five movie phone calls through face time soo i have already making those movie call numbers real just too bad this page was after iphone four mot hefore iphone Four
To people out their that think they know about the iphone:The fresh iphone 4g is crap here is why. ever since the very first iphone the design is the same, the software, and the lack of adobe or macro flash. The iPhone 4g is just the same except it looks like a brick which is a pretty plain and non stylish design. They havent addded any more features except movie call which htc had done before them and also the only hardware update is an HD processor and the resolution is still no match for the Evo 4g on the sprint network. You cant switch the way your screen looks just a bunch of widget squares(wack). Also it runs on a sluggish network. Verizon nor ATT&T have good service and rates. Now Sprint's HTC EVO 4G is the best cell phone made to date. It almost tripled the sales of the iPhone 3g,3gs, and 4g two months before the Evo release date and through all the comments made from the world the evo is a five starlet quality phone. Also runs flash and the android web browser which toats the iPhone's web browser any day and any where. Ultimately Sprint's EVDO Network is 4g and they are the very first and only company to have a 4g network and its proven to be very powerfull(More than3 times the strength of 3g).Also most of the apps in the apple store cost $ and most of the apps in the android market are FREE. People the iphone Four(g) is the same as the old iPhones no difference and also they all are very effortless to scrape or break(screen cracks). Sure winner is clearly Sprint's HTC EVO 4G!
I understand there is a boom in movie talk via people's phones but what is the future of movie talk web sites? The adult cam market has exploded over the last few years but I don't see many clean cam talk sites around. I have one at http://www.321lively.com/ and it is leisurely growing but I know if I permitted bareness it would be an instant hit.
Any have any ideas on the future of cam talk websites?
Michel Martin I just bought a HTC EVO 4g sorry i'm fresh in all this. question My HTC Evo has a web camara? can i talk on it?
There is one dirty secret about mobile movie talk. It's the real reason there's no movie talk on the iPad.
It's called Angle of View. If the phone is below your face, you're going to get one of those Monster Movie weird perspective shots that are all Chin & Nostril. Imagine doing movie talk on an iPad. You would hold it on your lap or your desk looking down on it. NOT a flattering perspective. It'd be fairly a strain to hold the thing at arms length level to your head, wouldn't it?
The problem is similar, but not as severe with a movie phone.
Another thing that is overlooked is that people tend to want a little privacy on a phone call. So you add a headset to your movie conference, or you blare a speakerphone conversation in front of anyone and everyone. I don't see this as a game changer for anyone but the sexting crowd.
So we all understand that movie traffic will be the lion's share of data traveling over the mobile network. Cisco's VNI states that by 2014, mobile data will be fifty times what it was in 2009. It is also superb to see broadband applications pushing the envelope on both wireline and wireless networks.
The problem here is not the endpoint or the application — it's the network. Just look at how poorly AT&T has supported the networks in NYC and the Bay Area. Now we will add even more data traffic (movie) to an already saturated network? What is AT&T's response — switch the data plans and penalize users if they go over their allocated data usage.
There needs to be a more intelligent solution in managing the 63.9 EB per month that is coming in/by 2014. We need to have some type of national wireless broadband plan that addresses these issues.
You know, this is the thing that truly gets my goat…the iPhone love boat nonsense. Is this an article about mobile movie talk or a pseudo Apple/iPhone extended lovefest? I'm tired of otherwise sensible writers prostituting their writing abilities for the quick score of an eyeball by mentioning the iPhone at every twist and turn. My goodness Stacey, why talk about what might be when the HTC EVO 4G already does it.
Give credit where credit is due! HTC has shaken up the market and deserve the recognition for doing so. And just to let you know, I own neither of these phones. Writing tech articles should be fair and balanced taking into account what is in the marketplace if you are to proclaim what MIGHT be. You quote the year two thousand fifteen as the concentrate point of your analysis still focusing on the iphone 4G. May I remind you that five years in this industry and market is a very, very long time. The dominance that Apple has loved over the latest past I hardly expect to last that long. Other players will emerge and be successful. History has trained us that.
Apple is not the only player out there. So please be less biased. Nuff said!!
The article just states the iPhone 4G w/movie talk is a catalyst, not the be-all-end-all for mobile movie talk. You can hardly say an HTC EVO 4G will spark a market in the same way a fresh generation iPhone will. That's like telling a tablet computer from HTC would do what the iPad is presently doing to the tablet computer market.
Bottom line – Apple has an capability to bring fresh technologies to mass-consciousness swifter than any other company on the planet. That's a fact. Will they own the mobile movie talk market? No. Will the spark it on a broader scale? If they introduce it today into the iPhone line, yes.
Bottom line is Apple has phenomenal marketing. Mobile movie isn't fresh, let alone proprietary to Apple. Portable MP3 wasn't fresh when ipod came into play. There is nothing fresh with Apple. They just have an uncanny capability to woo people that things are fresh and special.
Excellent points about EVO, europe, and ATT's “fresh and improved” pricing structure. Seems they implemented that just in time to hamstring Jobs fresh iToy. Not a good time to be a iPhanboi.
is this article indeed from 2010?
movie talk is available for years on europe. on mobile phones we have movie calls since 3G was implemented, ages ago.
i guess the USA are still living on the mobile phone stone age.
Ze luis – we never said mobile movie talk wasn't happening today. It's just not happening on a broad scale. An iPhone w/movie talk functionality, or a Blackberry, or Android device – that's a gamechanger.
You must feel cool… Wank!
Umm, not with tiered data pricing. Maybe some one will come up with awesome compression mechanisms but movie talk would likely stay limited to when users can use unlimited plans ( including use of WiFi on their mobiles)
Ummm HTC Evo 4G Android phone already does this NOW, except it can also do it over 4G which the iPhone HD can't treat.
…and good luck getting it to work on the AT&T network as you can now see the person's face as the call gets dropped – that is magical & revolutionary!